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The Next 25 Years: Robots are the New PC

Long time readers of Thinking will remember that I have proclaimed that the next 25 years will be for robots what the last 25 years have been for the personal computer. The personal computer brought computational power to the desktop island. Networking and the internet connected and multiplied computational power and added communication and social connection. Robots will add mobility and physical interface to the combination of computation, communication and social connection.

Witness this dynamic from a recent Wired News story:

Lying in his hospital room, on a mattress designed to protect his fragile skin, 13-year-old Achim Nurse poked his bandaged fingers at an orange button on what looked like a souped-up video game console.

Half a second later, in a social studies class discussing the Erie Canal, a 5-foot-tall steel-blue robot raised its hand.

"You have a question, Achim?" said the teacher.

Achim is using a pair of robots -- one, called Mr. Spike, at his bedside, and its mate, Mrs. Candy, in the classroom -- to keep up with his schoolwork and his friends for the months he will be bedridden at Blythedale Children's Hospital in Valhalla, just north of New York City.

The robot in the classroom, which displays a live picture of Achim, provides what its inventors call "telepresence": It gives the boy an actual presence in the classroom, recognized by teachers and classmates. It can move from class to class on its four-wheel base and even stop at the lockers for a between-periods chat.

This is more than just a video conference call. The students classmates come to see the robot as the student.

Summa said one student used a robot so fully that it joined the boy's classmates to sing a song at a school show. He said a child in the audience asked, "What's that thing up on stage?" to which a friend of the student replied, "That's no thing. That's Jimmy."

It's the control and the social interaction that separates this from a traditional distance learning set-up. The students control the camera so if they want to look out the window or talk to a classmate they can do it.

Amazed at how quickly your kids pick up on new technology? Can your five year old program your cell phone? Are your kids amazed that you used to physically go to a store to buy music? Wait until they get there hands on a robot.

Wired News: Robot Rep Goes to School

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 Blogger 7058 865 1600 Abbirb-6600 195Robot Gossip reports that ABB has moved the headquarters of it's robot division from Detroit to China. ABB makes robots used in the assembly of cars. There are leading robotics companies in other parts of the word but this is very telling about the future of not just auto manufacturing but manufacturing in general. China is rising in many regards as a market, as manufacturers and as marketers. Are you watching China?

There are trends that point towards preparing children for a future where China and the Mandarin language are a true global power. Everything from the trend of hiring Chinese nannies for children to the efforts of China to export the Mandarin language to schools around the world. More and more signs point to a future that involves a powerful China.

Robot Gossip: ABB Robotics World HQ is Shanghaied

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Next Step For Roomba: Mesh Networked Mini Units

RoombaWhat if Roombas were half the diameter they are now and you could deploy six of them to scour your room? Smaller units could maneuver into smaller spaces. Sure they wouldn't hold much but they could regurgitate their collections in the middle of the room for the parent Roomba to clean up. Mesh network the whole bunch and let the smaller units dock to the parent bot for recharging. The parent unit would be designed to transport and recharge the smaller units, clean up the dumpings of the smaller units and return to the master charging station.

I'm just thinking.

Related:
Roomba Robot Hack for Fresher Air
SNL Woomba Commercial
Robots for Christmas
Toro and Roomba, What if they Mated?

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tickrobotHere's a great idea that shows just the kind of thing that robotic technology is great for. Bug abatement. A team of undergrad engineering students have developed a system that utilizes a robot that follows a perforated tube around the perimeter of a yard. The tube emits carbon dioxide(CO2) to attract ticks. The robot drags a "skirt" of pesticide impregnated denim material(a natural attraction for ticks) that collects and kills the ticks. The primary advantage here is fewer chemical pesticides sprayed in the environment. Chemicals used for tick abatement require people to stay out of the area for two days following application. Above all the abatement of ticks is important to avoid the spread of Lyme disease.

While this system might be expensive for just tick abatement if it were combined other robotic functions like lawn maintenance functions like edging and trimming or additional bug abatement systems for mosquitos, bees, flies ants. etc. then you'd really have a great new yard care robot.

Wired News: Tick Busting Robot Nabs Pests

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RoombaAs I was moving my Glade Wisp automatic air freshener from one room to another today it occurred to me that a great Roomba hack would be to simply place this puffing air freshener on top of a Roomba while it moves around a space. This would be a great way to distribute air freshener all around a space. The Glade Wisp releases a puff of air freshener every 9 to 36 seconds.

 Glad WispPerhaps this is a new feature waiting to be designed into the successful robotic vacuum line from iRobot. Mobile air cleaning would be an excellent option for the domestic robot platform. This would be especially useful as the Roomba moves into corners and under furniture. It would also be a feature that may increase appeal of the high geek factor robot among women.

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 Images WoombaBoing Boing just posted a link to this Saturday Night Live commercial parody. It's laugh out load funny for anyone who loves Roomba or robots in general. Boarderline NSFW. Doesn't have the same impact without the sound.

SNL video - Woomba

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It's a Cleaning Robot Christmas. Three of the top 15 (as of this writing) items on the Kitchen & Housewares Top Sellers list at Amazon.com are cleaning robots. Could it be the ultimate husband gift for the practical woman? A cool techno gadget he can play with while also a "practical" gift for the woman. Do women really see the value in things like Roomba robots or would they rather have one of the goodies on Oprah's favorite things list?

So much energy and attention is focused on making humanoid robots but it's these types of limited function robots that will rule the day for the immediate future. Viva la machina!

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BusThe Times Online of London reports a plan to develop robotic driver-less busses to serve urban areas. The vehicles would be summoned by mobile phone to the location of the passenger and then travel directly to the desired destination. The vehicles would follow magnetic markers in the roadway and feature collision avoidance systems. Trial vehicles are scheduled to be ready in 2007 and a trial system is proposed for the Olympics in 2012.

The challenge facing any type of robotic vehicle that navigates without human input is social acceptance. Robotic cars, trucks , trains and even airplanes are proposed for the near future. Many of these systems are already highly automated. Many airplane passengers don't realize the extent that autopilots actually fly the plane. Some robotic systems are already in use. Airport people mover systems represent the state of robotic trains. The sonic detection system on the back bumper of your luxury car represents the future of ground vehicle accident avoidance systems. The technology is not the problem.

The hinderance of robotic transport systems are social and psychological. People will be less tolerant of any system failures and accidents even if those rates match those of human driven vehicles. Think about train accidents. How many derailments and collisions are avoided by human engineers? Many accidents happen regardless of the presence of a human operator. Granted we don't hear about accidents that don't happen but we're talking public perceptions here. Any failure in the system will be used against it by those that fear the technology or oppose the shifting employment that the robotic revolution represents. Bus drivers, train engineers, cab drivers, airplane pilots, truck drivers and many others are going to be "buggy whipped" in the next 100 years. Their jobs will change or disappear entirely. This is the expected course of advancement. Some of these jobs didn't exist 100 years ago and others are significantly different.

The key understanding that needs to be well communicated and marketed effectively by those interested in the development of robotic transport systems is the creation of the software and control systems. Computers are growing in power everyday. Soon we are at the point where the entire knowledge and experience of 100 top pilots can be programmed into a computer/robotic system. Everything an experienced human pilot knows and feels can be multiplied by 100 or 1000 and applied at lightening speed to any situation that arises in flight. Human pilots can only monitor a limited set of data points. Many of them are internal to their own body. Human pilots are susceptible to sickness. Computers and robotic systems can monitor and respond to far more data points and can easily be backed up and supported by redundant systems. The American Space Shuttle is flown by a computer that has two back up computers.

It's gonna be a great future.

The Times Online: Escape the Jams (photo)

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Lullabub01Here's a product making the blog rounds today. Just as the trend of LED powered "light-up furniture" is gathering steam we now see the first edge of a new trend of robotics enhanced furniture .These robotic devices for rocking a crib are not yet available from their Australian maker but I suspect we'll quickly see an American company pick these up. I would suggest that these be integrated into a baby monitor system to give tired parents the ability to activate the rocking system through the baby monitor when they hear their child crying or stirring. A new hi in remote control parenting. W00t W00t!

Lullabub Crib Rockers via Boing Boing, Gizmodo, Cnet

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Parking is becoming an issue in Dubai as density levels increase. This is not unlike Europe and increasingly the United States. People are comfortable doing their banking by machine why not park their cars by machine. Robotic parking systems are under development in many places these days.

The systems make a lot of sense as they save huge amounts of space vs. conventional parking garages. I'd look to car rental companies to be the first to develop around these systems because they can add systems to the vehicles themselves(i.e. GPS, Echo detection/location, etc.) that will assist the automated parking systems.

Robotic Parking comes to Dubai, UAE

Related:
Parking Space Comes With Free Car
VW Crafts an Experience from a Product

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